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Ukraine’s Drone Campaign Reaches Russia’s Largest Refinery in Siberia

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New Sanctions Could Disrupt Global Oil Markets and Russia\u2019s War

Russia’s largest oil refinery was burning on Monday night, and the claim of responsibility came from Kyiv rather than Moscow. According to the statement from Ukraine’s General Staff, drones struck the Gazprom Neft refinery on the northern edge of Omsk, in western Siberia, some 2,500 kilometers, or 1,550 miles, from the border. NASA satellites picked up multiple fire hotspots at the site after dark. The wording was procedural: “An impact with subsequent fire was recorded on the territory” of the plant, and “The extent of the damage is being verified”.

A Coordinated Wave

The Omsk strike did not come alone. On the same day, Ukraine’s HUR military intelligence agency said it had carried out a deep-strike operation against the Slavneft-Yanos refinery at Yaroslavl, one of Russia’s five largest, about 700 kilometers (435 miles) from Ukraine, and the General Staff, in a separate statement, said it had documented “explosions and smoke” at the plant. In the Leningrad region on the Baltic, Ukrainian forces said they struck natural gas producer Novatek’s Ust-Luga complex and a Russian missile brigade’s deployment point.

The Last Name on the List

Officials on the Russian side confirmed the strike while saying almost nothing about its results. Omsk region Governor Vitaly Khotsenko acknowledged that “several drones” had slipped past the layers of air defense and attacked the refinery, and said emergency services had been dispatched to the scene. What, if anything, was damaged was left unstated. According to The Moscow Times, the attack was the first to reach the Omsk region since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022.

The size of the target explains the attention. Sources cited by Reuters put the Omsk plant’s throughput last year at around 23 million metric tons of oil. The General Staff framed the strike as the closing of a set: “This is the last of the 11 largest gasoline producers in Russia that have been hit.” On Kyiv’s count, no giant on that list remains untouched.

The week around the strike showed the same pattern on other fronts. Ukraine said it destroyed seven Sukhoi aircraft and two sheds holding Shahed aerial drones at Crimea’s Saky airfield on July 3; the SBU said it set the St Petersburg oil terminal alight on July 4, calling it “one of the largest oil product transshipment terminals in the Baltic region”; and on July 6, Kyiv reported hitting the Kerch oil transhipment terminal and three hangars at the Guardsman airfield.

The record shows a campaign that keeps extending its map: from plants near the border to the Baltic coast, and now to the Siberian interior, 2,500 kilometers from Ukraine. What no statement yet shows is the bill. The damage tally at Omsk is still being verified, Kyiv says, and until it lands, the outage time at Russia’s largest refinery, and with it the knock-on effects for fuel supply, remain open questions.

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