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Home » How the Nankai Trough Earthquake Evaluation Committee Tracks Japan’s Megaquake Threat

How the Nankai Trough Earthquake Evaluation Committee Tracks Japan’s Megaquake Threat

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How the Nankai Trough Earthquake Evaluation Committee Tracks Japan's Megaquake Threat

A powerful magnitude 5.7 earthquake struck Japan’s Aichi Prefecture on November 8, 2026, with its focus in Shizuoka Prefecture, close to the anticipated source zone of a Nankai Trough megathrust earthquake. Japan’s Meteorological Agency stated that no apparent change was detected to the Nankai Trough plate following the recent magnitude 5.7 tremor, but the agency warned residents to watch out for possible strong aftershocks in the coming week.

Understanding The Nankai Trough And Its Historical Megathrust Earthquakes

The Nankai Trough is an enormous underwater plate boundary that has produced some of Japan’s most destructive earthquakes and coastal tsunamis. The Imperial Earthquake Investigation Committee was created in 1892 to conduct a systematic collation of available historical data on Japanese earthquakes. In Japan, the Shindo scale is commonly used to measure earthquakes by seismic intensity instead of magnitude, featuring ten levels ranging from zero to seven.

How The Nankai Trough Earthquake Evaluation Committee Monitors Seismic Activity

The Nankai Trough Earthquake Evaluation Committee monitors seismic activity in the region, and officials noted that the probability of a Nankai Trough earthquake occurring within the next 30 years is more than 60%. The company said the government set up a dedicated disaster prevention department on November 2 to serve as a “command centre” for responding to such a quake.

Recent Seismic Warnings And Regional Impacts

Aichi governor Hideaki Omura urged residents to remain highly vigilant for possible strong aftershocks following the tremor. The recent earthquake’s focus was in Shizuoka Prefecture, close to the anticipated source zone of a Nankai Trough megathrust earthquake. Data shows that the Nankai Trough has produced some of Japan’s most destructive earthquakes, including events that caused widespread coastal devastation.

Seafloor Sediment Discoveries Revealing Hidden Disaster Records

Seven separate layers of disturbed sediment were identified in a seabed core from the Kumano Sea, near the Nankai Trough, exposing evidence of repeated disturbances stretching back approximately 600 years. The discovery was made in a region where Japan is already preparing for a major earthquake capable of generating devastating tsunamis. Officials noted that the findings suggest that evidence of past disasters may be far more difficult to identify than previously thought, with potentially important records still buried beneath the ocean.

Preparedness Measures And Potential Consequences For Coastal Populations

The Japanese government has been preparing for a potential Nankai Trough earthquake, with the dedicated disaster prevention department set up to serve as a “command centre” for responding to such a quake. The company said residents should keep at least a week’s supply of emergency food at home. Japan’s Meteorological Agency stated that no apparent change was detected to the Nankai Trough plate following the recent magnitude 5.7 tremor, but the agency warned residents to watch out for possible strong aftershocks in the coming week, saying “Please be on the lookout for mudslides, falling rocks and the possible effects from rainfall,” as Ayataka Ebita, an agency official, told reporters.

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Photo: 麒麟坊 (CC BY-SA 3.0)

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